AI WCP

World Cup 2026 Group Predictions

AI-powered group stage forecasts for the expanded 48-team FIFA World Cup 2026. Projected winners, qualification probabilities, key fixtures, and predicted standings for every group.

Group A

  • šŸ‡²šŸ‡½Mexico
  • šŸ‡æšŸ‡¦South Africa
  • šŸ‡°šŸ‡·South Korea
  • šŸ‡ØšŸ‡æCzech Republic
Full Group A Predictions

Group B

  • šŸ‡ØšŸ‡¦Canada
  • šŸ‡§šŸ‡¦Bosnia-Herzegovina
  • šŸ‡¶šŸ‡¦Qatar
  • šŸ‡ØšŸ‡­Switzerland
Full Group B Predictions

Group C

  • šŸ‡§šŸ‡·Brazil
  • šŸ‡²šŸ‡¦Morocco
  • šŸ‡­šŸ‡¹Haiti
  • šŸ“Scotland
Full Group C Predictions

Group D

  • šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡øUnited States
  • šŸ‡µšŸ‡¾Paraguay
  • šŸ‡¦šŸ‡ŗAustralia
  • šŸ‡¹šŸ‡·Turkey
Full Group D Predictions

Qualification Prediction Summary

AI-projected probability of advancing to the Round of 32 (top 2 finish) for Groups Aā€“D:

Group A

Mexico
82%
South Korea
58%
Czech Republic
32%
South Africa
28%

Group B

Switzerland
72%
Canada
58%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
38%
Qatar
32%

Group C

Brazil
95%
Morocco
65%
Scotland
28%
Haiti
12%

Group D

United States
68%
Turkey
52%
Paraguay
42%
Australia
38%

Groups Eā€“L

Full prediction pages for Groups E through L are coming soon. Preview the teams:

Group E
šŸ‡©šŸ‡Ŗ Germany
šŸ‡ØšŸ‡¼ Curacao
šŸ‡ØšŸ‡® Ivory Coast
šŸ‡ŖšŸ‡Ø Ecuador
Group F
šŸ‡³šŸ‡± Netherlands
šŸ‡ÆšŸ‡µ Japan
šŸ‡øšŸ‡Ŗ Sweden
šŸ‡¹šŸ‡³ Tunisia
Group G
šŸ‡§šŸ‡Ŗ Belgium
šŸ‡ŖšŸ‡¬ Egypt
šŸ‡®šŸ‡· Iran
šŸ‡³šŸ‡æ New Zealand
Group H
šŸ‡ŖšŸ‡ø Spain
šŸ‡ØšŸ‡» Cape Verde
šŸ‡øšŸ‡¦ Saudi Arabia
šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡¾ Uruguay
Group I
šŸ‡«šŸ‡· France
šŸ‡øšŸ‡³ Senegal
šŸ‡®šŸ‡¶ Iraq
šŸ‡³šŸ‡“ Norway
Group J
šŸ‡¦šŸ‡· Argentina
šŸ‡©šŸ‡æ Algeria
šŸ‡¦šŸ‡¹ Austria
šŸ‡ÆšŸ‡“ Jordan
Group K
šŸ‡µšŸ‡¹ Portugal
šŸ‡ØšŸ‡© DR Congo
šŸ‡ŗšŸ‡æ Uzbekistan
šŸ‡ØšŸ‡“ Colombia
Group L
šŸ“ England
šŸ‡­šŸ‡· Croatia
šŸ‡¬šŸ‡­ Ghana
šŸ‡µšŸ‡¦ Panama

Frequently Asked Questions

How does the AI predict World Cup group winners?ā–¼
Our model analyzes FIFA rankings, recent team form, squad strength, and tournament history to project group stage outcomes. Each match is simulated 10,000 times using a weighted ensemble model, and the standings reflect the percentage of simulations in which each team finishes in each position.
Which World Cup 2026 group is the hardest?ā–¼
Group I (France, Senegal, Norway, Iraq) and Group H (Spain, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Cape Verde) are statistically the most competitive. Group I features three teams ranked in the global top 45 with legitimate knockout ambitions, while Group H pairs a European champion with a two-time World Cup winner.
How many teams qualify from each group?ā–¼
The top two teams from each of the 12 groups qualify automatically. Additionally, the 8 best third-place teams advance to the Round of 32, meaning 32 of 48 teams progress to the knockout stage.
Can a host nation win their group?ā–¼
History says yes ā€” six previous hosts have won the World Cup, and host nations consistently outperform their rankings in group stage play. The USA, Mexico, and Canada all benefit from home advantage in 2026.
When are the group prediction pages updated?ā–¼
Our group predictions are updated monthly during the competitive season and weekly during the tournament. Last update: June 11, 2026.
How accurate are the group stage predictions?ā–¼
Our back-testing against the 2022 World Cup correctly predicted 13 of 16 Round of 16 qualifiers. The model's Brier Score ā€” a measure of probabilistic accuracy ā€” is 0.18, indicating strong calibration.